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DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190325T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190326T183000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T144945Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T144958Z
UID:833-1553506200-1553625000@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Anticipating Governance Breakdown and Violent Conflict | EU-LISTCO Risk Scanning Workshops
DESCRIPTION:Europe’s neighbourhood is full of recent events that foreign policy experts and practitioners did not expect or even thought possible until they happened. ISIL’s sudden conquest of territory in Iraq and Syria and the protests that swept Algeria\, Libya and Sudan are just a few examples. In hindsight\, observers tend to think they saw these events coming. But often\, that is just what their minds would like to make them believe to make sense of the world.  \nForesight can help to mitigate cognitive and social biases. Foresight Intelligence and GPPi have teamed up to conduct a series of scenario-based foresight workshops to help regional experts and policy makers identify potential risks\, security threats and tipping points for governance breakdown and violent conflicts that are often missed. The methodology complements EU-LISTCO’s quantitative early warning tool and qualitative research. \n\n    \n        \n            \n                \n                \n                \n                \n                \n                \n                \n                \n                \n            \n        \n        \n    \n\nThe series kicked off with a workshop on the Middle East in Jerusalem in June 2018\, hosted by IDC Herzliya and the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. A session on Europe’s Eastern Neighbourhood was hosted by GPPi near Berlin in November 2018\, followed by a workshop on North Africa at the Istituto Affari Internazionali in Rome in February 2019. \nDuring all three sessions\, experts discussed scenarios of governance breakdown or violent conflicts in Europe’s neighbourhood for the next three to five years up to 2025\, including a potential military confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia; a new wave of colour revolutions in post-Soviet countries; and the possibility of an authoritarian resurgence in Tunisia. \nIn a second set of workshops on strategic policy design\, officials from European foreign services\, policy experts and EU-LISTCO researchers will use these scenarios as a basis for developing targeted policy responses.
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/anticipating-governance-breakdown-and-violent-conflict-eu-listco-risk-scanning-workshops/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/governance-breakdown.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190228T090000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190228T210000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T145719Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T150614Z
UID:855-1551344400-1551387600@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Workshop | Identification of Areas of Limited Statehood and Contested Orders in the EU's Surroundings
DESCRIPTION:On 28 February 2019\, the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM) organized a workshop on identification of areas of limited statehood (ALS) and contested orders (CO) in the South and East of the European Union in Warsaw. The event was organized in the framework of the EU-LISTCO project. \nThe meeting served as an opportunity to further coordinate activities among EU-LISTCO partners and discuss methodological approaches to achieve the project’s research goals. Participants joined three working groups: 1) “Radicalism and Revisionism in Europe’s East and South” on local social structures and factors linked to globalization; 2) “Migrations in the East and South” on the different dimensions of migrations; 3) “Political economy in the East and South” on monopolisation of economic positions by the elites as a common feature in Europe’s neighbourhoods. \n  \n 
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/workshop-identification-of-areas-of-limited-statehood-and-contested-orders-in-the-eus-surroundings/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/identification.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190128T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190128T170000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T150819Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T150834Z
UID:866-1548687600-1548694800@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Roundtable | Why aren't more Islamists taking up arms in Tunisia and Egypt?
DESCRIPTION:Most research on violent radicalisation often focuses on why people take up arms\, and very little has focused on why individuals choose not to engage in political violence. \nIn Egypt\, after the ouster of Mohammed Morsi in July 2013\, many voices warned that non-violent Islamists would shift their tactics to include the use of violence. However\, only a minority within the Brotherhood and its supporters have decided to do so. In Tunisia as well\, many researchers warned the Tunisian government that declaring Ansar al-Sharia as a terrorist organisation in August 2013 would lead its supporters to take up arms. However\, again in the case of Tunisia\, only a minority within Ansar al-Sharia did take up arms. \nAlthough most policy attention focuses on the causes of radicalisation\, the case of Egyptian and Tunisian Islamists raises an equally important question: why has only a small minority turned to violence? In answering this question\, this roundtable seeks to contribute to the larger debate on the sources of resilience to violent radicalisation in the Middle East\, and how to understand the intersection between ideational and material factors in preventing Islamist youth from following a violent path. \n  \nSpeakers \nGeorges Fahmi\, Research Fellow\, MEDirections\nFederica Bicchi\, Team Leader for EU-LISTCO\, Global Governance Programme
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/roundtable-why-arent-more-islamists-taking-up-arms-in-tunisia-and-egypt/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/tunisia-and-egypt.jpg
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190114T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20190114T170000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T151013Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T151013Z
UID:869-1547478000-1547485200@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Beyond Smuggling: Tunisia’s on-the-ground responses and perspectives to EU’s counter-smuggling practices
DESCRIPTION:On September 2018\, a group of Tunisian fishermen were charged by Italian authorities with migrant smuggling after towing a boat carrying migrants to the Italian island of Lampedusa. Public pressure in both Europe and Tunisia claiming the fishermen were not smugglers but rather providers of humanitarian assistance led Italian courts to drop the charges later that month. \nDespite the visibility of migrant rescues in the European migration landscape\, there is scant empirical research on how the people involved in them (and more specifically those accused with smuggling) conceptualize their experiences. Much less is known about the perspectives of the people from Europe’s southern neighbourhood who engage not merely on smuggling\, but who in the context of their everyday activities encounter migrants in transit. This is of particular importance in the context of Tunisia\, which despite having implemented migration controls in line with EU’s demands has yet to enact legislation criminalizing migration-related activities (e.g.\, smuggling of migrants and human trafficking). \nHow do Tunisian people conceptualize mobility and smuggling\, given the very lack of legislation criminalizing the practice in that country? How does that clash with European perspectives concerning the facilitation of irregular migration? How does the case of the Tunisian fishermen challenge or counter European understandings of smuggling? \nThis presentation\, relying on the legal case against the Tunisian fishermen\, introduces some preliminary ideas concerning these questions\, which will be explored in the context of the EU-LISTCO project on areas of limited statehood and contested orders. \n  \nSpeakers\nGabriella Sanchez\, research fellow\, Migration Policy Centre of the European University Institut\nFederica Bicchi\, Team Leader for EU-LISTCO\, Global Governance Programme
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/beyond-smuggling-tunisias-on-the-ground-responses-and-perspectives-to-eus-counter-smuggling-practices/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/Beyond-Smuggling.jpg
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20181024T140000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20181024T160000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T151159Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T151159Z
UID:871-1540389600-1540396800@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Roundtable | Areas of Limited Statehood\, Contested Orders\, and the Future of EU Security
DESCRIPTION:The European Union’s neighbourhood is increasingly characterised by two main sources of risks: (1) Areas of limited statehood\, where central government authorities are too weak to ensure a monopoly over the means of violence and enforce the rule of law and (2) contested orders\, where state\, non-state and transnational actors and networks challenge the norms\, principles\, and rules that societies and political systems are based on. These risks can amount to severe threats for the EU\, if they deteriorate into governance breakdown and violent conflict. \n  \nSpeakers\nProfessor Dr. Thomas Risse\, Professor of International Relations\, director of the Center for Transnational Relations\, Foreign and Security Policy \nProfessor Dr. Amichai Magen\, Richard von Weizsäcker Fellow\, Robert Bosch Academy\, Director of the Diplomacy & Conflict Management Program\, Lauder School of Government\, Diplomacy\, and Strategy\, IDC (Herzliya) \nDr. Johannes Gabriel\, Managing Director\, Foresight Intelligence\, Non-resident fellow\, Global Public Policy Institute\, Berlin \nThe event was organised jointly by the Robert Bosch Academy and the EU-LISTCO Project (Europe’s External Action and the Dual Challenges of Limited Statehood and Contested Orders). 
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/roundtable-areas-of-limited-statehood-contested-orders-and-the-future-of-eu-security/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/areas-of-limited-statehood.jpg
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20180426T183000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20180426T203000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T151626Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230627T152653Z
UID:873-1524767400-1524774600@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:Ring of Friends or Ring of Fire? Instability and Autocracy in the EU’s Neighbourhood
DESCRIPTION:Hosted by the European Commission’s representation in Germany\, the event addressed the current challenges of contested orders and limited statehood in the EU’s immediate neighbourhood and the EU’s preparedness to deal with them. \nAUDIO OF THE EVENT\n \nThe discussion started with the following question to the panellists: Which are the three most pertinent challenges the EU and its member states are facing at the moment in their neighbourhood? \nEkkehard Brose commented that these challenges are (1) the new power centres (Iran\, Turkey\, Russia\, China) in the EU’s surroundings\, (2) the fragility of many states in the MENA region accompanied with increased violence and growing flows of migration\, and (3) the decreasing trust in established elites in Europe and a weakening support for the liberal post-war order. Hervé Delphin considered the most pressing challenges to be (1) the deteriorating development in the MENA region in terms of human development index which inevitably leads to informal economies and migration\, (2) the increasing tension between Russia and the United States\, and (3) conflicts in the Middle East involving Iran\, Israel\, and Saudi Arabia. \n© Offenblende\nWolfgang Ischinger named hybrid threats and crises in the Middle East\, such as the conflict in Syria\, the primary challenges for Europe\,  but also noted that two internal affairs are impeding the EU’s responsiveness to foreign policy challenges: the low visibility of the EU’s foreign policy activities to its citizens and the use of veto power in the Council. Natalie Tocci remarked that the hollowing out of the state in the Eastern\, but mostly the Southern neighbourhood – breakdowns into violent conflict\, problems associated with changing demography\, the dependence of the rental state on oil – is the largest challenge in the EU’s surrounding\, as are contested orders and proxy wars in the region. Finally\, the EU itself and the growing fascination with the ‘strong man’ has become a problem for the EU’s foreign policy capacity. \nWith audience involvement\, the panellists discussed how well the EU and the member states are prepared to face these challenges. The panellists agreed that the EU is part of the answer to these challenges. In particular\, Nathalie Tocci commented that the EU member states need to internalise that their individual powers are rather limited\, and the EU institutions need to be recognised as the more promising avenue to solving conflicts in the EU’s neighbourhood. \n© Offenblende\nIt has also been noted that the EU needs to prioritise in its foreign policy agenda and develop clearly formulated interests. Many agreed that the EU has a strong security responsibility in its surroundings. The question was raised how short-term military solutions can be discouraged in favour of long-term approaches to security in the EU’s neighbourhood. At the same time\, a participant from the audience voiced the concern that the public needs to be informed that military force may be required in some cases\, and the EU needs to step up its security engagements accordingly. It remains rather unclear who should communicate this message. \n© Offenblende\n  \nSpeakers\nEkkehard Brose\, Special Envoy for Crisis Prevention and Stabilization\, German Foreign Office \nHervé Delphin\, Head of the Strategic Planning Division\, EU External Action Service \nWolfgang Ischinger\, Chair of the Munich Security Conference \nNatalie Tocci\, Director of Istituto Affari Internazionali and Special Advisor to the EU High Representative Federica Mogherini \n  \nModerator\nTanja A. Börzel\, EU-LISTCO’s coordinator and director of the Center for European Integration\, Freie Universitaet.
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/ring-of-friends-or-ring-of-fire-instability-and-autocracy-in-the-eus-neighbourhood/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/ring-of-friends.jpg
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Paris:20180425T090000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Paris:20180427T190000
DTSTAMP:20260423T175510
CREATED:20230627T180633Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20230725T102529Z
UID:887-1524646800-1524855600@eu-listco.net
SUMMARY:EU-LISTCO Kick-off Conference
DESCRIPTION:EU-LISTCO’s kick-off conference took place in Berlin from April 25 to April 27\, 2018 and it was organised by the Freie Universität Berlin. \nIt provided an opportunity for EU-LISTCO’s consortium partners to engage in discussions on the project’s research questions\, agenda\, and future empirical research. It was organised around the Work Packages (WP)s of the project and consortium members addressed the division of labour during breakout sessions. \n© Offenblende\nSecondly\, the conference brought together practitioners involved with the project in the framework of WP 6 and therefore represented the first step in making EU-LISTCO’s research as policy-relevant as possible. \nFinally\, a public roundtable on autocracy and instability in the EU’s neighbourhood hosted by the European Commission’s Representation in Germany was organised during the kick-off conference. \n  \nDOWNLOAD EVENT REPORT\n 
URL:https://eu-listco.net/events/eu-listco-kick-off-conference/
ATTACH;FMTTYPE=image/jpeg:https://eu-listco.net/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/kick-off.jpg
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